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  • 2

  • 8.5 7.5 6.3 5.6 5.0 4.3

    43.0 39.6

    37.4

    32.0 27.8

    24.7

    14.0 17.5 18.3

    20.2 20.3 18.9

    0.05.0

    10.015.020.025.030.035.040.045.050.0

    2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

    0-14

    15-64

    65

    65

    7565-74

    2010 2040

    ( 総数)百万人

    ( 総数)百万人

    4.4 4.0 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.3

    23.9 22.3 21.1

    18.1 15.7

    13.9

    7.3 9.3 9.9

    11.2 11.5 10.8

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    30.0

    2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

    0-14

    15-64

    65

    65

    7565-74

    2010 2040

    8.3 7.0 5.7 5.1 4.4 3.7

    38.8

    33.7 30.4

    25.9 22.2

    19.5

    15.5 18.5 18.6 18.5 17.4

    15.7

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    30.0

    35.0

    40.0

    2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

    0-14

    15-64

    65

    65

    7565-74

    2010 2040

    ( 総数)百万人

    ( 総数)百万人

    ( 総数)百万人

    ( 総数)百万人

    3

  • 25 3

    19.8 22.9

    25.8

    30.2

    41.1

    48.0

    10 30 1 5 30 5 10 6,000 1

    %

    25.5

    4

  • 21.6% 20.4% 24.4% 23.4% 8.3%

    (1.9%)

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    75% 50~75% 25~50%

    25%

    5

  • 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

    0 14 16.8 14.6 12.0 10.7 9.4 7.915 64 81.7 73.4 67.7 57.9 50.0 44.265 29.5 36.1 36.8 38.7 37.7 34.6

    75 14.2 18.8 22.8 22.2128.1 124.1 116.6 107.3 97.1 86.7

    2010100

    0 14 100.0% 86.5% 71.5% 63.7% 55.7% 47.0%15 64 100.0% 89.8% 82.9% 70.8% 61.2% 54.1%65 100.0% 122.5% 125.0% 131.2% 127.8% 117.5%

    75 100.0% 132.4% 160.5% 156.6%100.0% 96.9% 91.1% 83.8% 75.8% 67.7%

    0 14 13.1% 11.7% 10.3% 10.0% 9.7% 9.1%15 64 63.8% 59.2% 58.1% 53.9% 51.5% 50.9%65 23.0% 29.1% 31.6% 36.1% 38.8% 39.9%

    75 11.1% 15.1% 19.5% 20.7%

    2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

    0 14 4.4 4.0 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.315 64 23.9 22.3 21.1 18.1 15.7 13.965 7.3 9.3 9.9 11.2 11.5 10.8

    75 3.2 4.8 6.0 6.035.6 35.7 34.4 32.3 29.8 27.0

    2010100

    0 14 100.0% 91.2% 76.2% 68.3% 60.2% 51.4%15 64 100.0% 93.5% 88.5% 75.8% 65.6% 58.2%65 100.0% 127.4% 135.2% 153.0% 157.1% 147.6%

    75 100.0% 151.8% 187.4% 189.5%100.0% 100.2% 96.6% 90.7% 83.7% 75.7%

    0 14 12.5% 11.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.9% 8.5%15 64 67.0% 62.5% 61.4% 56.0% 52.5% 51.5%65 20.5% 26.1% 28.8% 34.6% 38.5% 40.0%

    75 8.9% 13.5% 17.3% 18.6%

    2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 20600 14 8.5 7.6 6.3 5.7 5.0 4.215 64 43.0 39.7 37.3 32.0 27.8 24.765 14.0 17.6 18.3 20.2 20.3 18.9

    75 6.2 9.2 11.2 11.065.5 64.9 61.9 57.8 53.1 47.9

    2010100

    0 14 100.0% 89.0% 74.1% 66.5% 58.6% 49.9%15 64 100.0% 92.4% 87.0% 74.4% 64.7% 57.5%65 100.0% 125.7% 130.6% 144.0% 144.9% 135.2%

    75 100.0% 147.6% 180.0% 178.1%100.0% 99.1% 94.6% 88.3% 81.1% 73.1%

    0 14 13.0% 11.7% 10.2% 9.8% 9.4% 8.9%15 64 65.6% 61.2% 60.3% 55.3% 52.4% 51.6%65 21.4% 27.1% 29.5% 34.9% 38.2% 39.6%

    75 9.5% 14.1% 18.0% 19.1%

    2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 20600 14 8.3 7.0 5.7 5.1 4.4 3.715 64 38.8 33.7 30.4 25.9 22.2 19.565 15.5 18.5 18.6 18.5 17.4 15.7

    75 8.0 9.6 11.6 11.262.6 59.2 54.7 49.5 44.0 38.9

    2010100

    0 14 100.0% 84.0% 68.8% 60.9% 52.8% 44.1%15 64 100.0% 86.9% 78.3% 66.8% 57.3% 50.3%65 100.0% 119.7% 119.9% 119.6% 112.3% 101.5%

    75 100.0% 120.6% 145.4% 140.0%100.0% 94.6% 87.4% 79.1% 70.3% 62.1%

    0 14 13.3% 11.8% 10.5% 10.3% 10.0% 9.5%15 64 62.0% 56.9% 55.6% 52.3% 50.5% 50.2%65 24.7% 31.3% 33.9% 37.4% 39.5% 40.4%

    75 12.8% 16.3% 21.2% 22.6%

    6

  • 0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    2.0

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12 60

    55

    50

    45

    40

    35

    30

    7

  • 2.16

    2.40 2.35

    2.06

    1.73 1.72

    1.50 1.41

    1.30 1.22

    1.32 1.33

    1.70

    2.00 1.96

    1.63

    1.44 1.44

    1.23

    1.11 1.07

    1.00

    1.12 1.13

    2.00

    2.14 2.13

    1.91

    1.75 1.76

    1.54

    1.42 1.36

    1.26

    1.39 1.43

    0.50

    1.00

    1.50

    2.00

    2.50

    1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

    8

  • 9.7 (H25)

    16.4 (S62)

    38.8 (S37)

    15.5 (H19)

    0.01 (H25)

    0.7 (H25)

    21.1 (S36)

    6.9 (S38)

    65.1 (S36)

    9

  • 500

    Demographia: World Urban Areas & Population Projections Wendell Cox 400 /k

    UN, World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision medium fertility 2013

    500 2013

    500500

    500

    3,724

    2,675

    2,287 2,330 2,283 2,177 2,124 2,067 2,057 2,003

    1,579 1,507

    1,087 958 731

    29.29%

    10.70%

    46.42%

    1.86% 1.65%

    22.12%

    11.66%

    6.46%

    10.27%

    16.38%

    11.05%

    18.37% 16.91% 15.17%

    8.84%

    0.00%

    5.00%

    10.00%

    15.00%

    20.00%

    25.00%

    30.00%

    35.00%

    40.00%

    45.00%

    50.00%

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    10

  • 20%

    22%

    24%

    26%

    28%

    30%

    32%

    34%

    1975

    1976

    1977

    1978

    1979

    1980

    1981

    1982

    1983

    1984

    1985

    1986

    1987

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    0 14

    20 39 20 39

    11

  • , 4.3%

    , 14.3%

    , 25.8%

    , 8.4%

    , 25.2%

    , 6.0%

    , 4.3%

    , 2.7% , 7.9%

    , 1.2%

    76,744

    12

  • 13

  • .

    .

    14

  • 15

  • ( )

    ( )

    ( )

    ( )

    ( )

    ( )

    16

  • 17

  • 18

  • 19

  • H23

    78

    20

  • 95 2.3

    OECD 2 1 H25

    2 1 2012

    3 2013

    43 40 38 69

    21

  • 2012 Numbeo 20142014

    2012 Numbeo 20132013

    27 2012 2012

    2012

    22

  • 23

  • Pricewaterhouse Coopers Cities of

    Opportunity

    2008 2007

    Pricewaterhouse Coopers LLP

    2013 2012

    24

  • Global Power City Index YEARBOOK 2013 5 5 25

  • Pricewaterhouse Coopers Cities of opportunity 5 5 26

  • 27.8%

    49.3%

    1.5%

    6.3%

    18.8%12.6%

    29.3%

    47.8%

    3.2%7.8%

    31.0%

    21.6%

    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    30.0%

    40.0%

    50.0%

    60.0%

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    GDP GDP

    ( ) ( )GDP

    1 GDP(1,000$)

    GDP

    ( ) OECD

    GDP

    27

  • 2 H25 3

    2 H25 3

    H24105.4 12.5ha

    11.9 H8 7.5ha H24 12.5ha 5.0ha 1.7

    28

  • 29

  • 30

  • 2011 2012

    2012 2.338

    31

  • 4.80%

    25

    7.41%

    6.21%

    5.87%

    5.77%

    5.72%

    5.63% 5.31% 5.14%

    5.05% 5.00%

    4.97% 4.96%

    4.86%

    4.77%

    4.76%

    2525 3

    2011 2012

    2012 2.338

    32

  • 73.9

    30.9

    -35.0 -55.0 -56.0

    -44.9 -100

    -50

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    33

  • 0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    2012 6 2013 6 2014 6

    34

  • 6.4

    0.72 1.5

    4.8

    5.9

    0.69

    1.4

    4.5

    5.8

    0.70

    1.5

    4.3

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    ( )

    13 18 24

    35

  • 36

  • 24

    R² = 0.3691

    3.00%

    3.50%

    4.00%

    4.50%

    5.00%

    5.50%

    6.00%

    6.50%

    7.00%

    7.50%

    41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51

    24 24 37

  • 24

    R² = 0.3183

    3.00%

    3.50%

    4.00%

    4.50%

    5.00%

    5.50%

    6.00%

    6.50%

    7.00%

    7.50%

    2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%

    24 24 38

  • 2000 1

    2

    1

    No.78 12

    39

  • 40

  • 41

  • 1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    25

    27

    28

    30

    33

    42

    52

    64

    65

    69

    71

    77

    79

    87

    88

    92

    95

    42

  • 43

  • 44

    0%

    25%

    50%

    75%

    100%

    30 30 1 1

  • 0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160(m2)

    45

  • 0.00%

    0.50%

    1.00%

    1.50%

    2.00%

    2.50%

    3.00%

    46

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    47

  • 48

  • 1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    25

    27

    28

    29

    30

    SBI 100

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    19

    20

    49

  • 47.4 169.5

    47.9 44.7

    95.3 214.2

    4,500 71,000

    50

  • 51

  • 52

  • 53

  • ••

    54

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    -100 0 100 200 300

    1997→2007

  • 55

    13 20

  • 1985

    18

    56

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    1995 2000 2005 2010

    15 65 0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    100,000

    1997 1999 2002 2004 2007

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    16,000

    18,000

    1997 1999 2002 2004 2007

  • 57

    0 24 28.2

    19.3 22.9

    / 118.1

    75%

    2%

    23%

    10%

    25%

    65%

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    H23)

    23

    21.19

    1.05

    1.93

    1.65 1.70 18 18

    1964

    30

  • 58

  • 02468

    1012141618

    59

  • 60

  • ( (

    ( :

    ( )

    61

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030

    18.09

    9.40

    13.59 .

    1.1211.9%

    0.707.4%

    1.9514.3%

    1.239.1%

    2.9316.2%

    1.8710.3%

    < > < >

    UNWTO Tourism Towards2030

    62

  • A B

    63

  • 64

  • HP

    1,014 25 10

    65

  • 66