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  • 8/10/2019 semaine 09.pdf

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    A B PB(A) = P(A)PA(B)

    P(B)

    (An)nN B

    j N, PB(Aj) = P(Aj)PAj (B)+n=0

    P(An)PAn(B)

    A B P(A B) = P(A)P(B)

    P(B)> 0

    A

    B

    PB(A) = P(A) B A

    A

    B

    A B

    A

    B

    A B

    (A1,...,An)

    (i, j) [[1, n]]2, i=j = P(Ai Aj) = P(Ai)P(Aj)

    (A1,...,An)

    J

    [[1, n]]

    P(iJ

    Ai) =iJ

    P(Ai)

    (,P)

    E

    (,P) E X

    E

    E= R

    X

    A E X1(A) {XA}

    x E X1({x}) {X=x}

    E= R

    x R X1(], x]) {X x}

    X {X=x} x X()

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    X : E X PX :

    X() [0, 1]

    x P(X=x) A P(X()) PX(A) = P(XA) PX X()

    X

    A P(X()) P(A) > 0 X

    A

    PX|A:

    X() [0, 1]

    x PA(X=x)

    X X X U(X())

    x X(),P(X=x) = 1

    card X()

    X X U([[1, 6]])

    X {0, 1} X

    p X B(p) P(X= 1) = p P(X= 0) = 1 p

    X : [[0, n]] X n p X B(n, p) k [[0, n]] P(X=k) =

    nkp

    k(1 p)nk B(n, p) n p X

    E

    N

    N1= N p N2= N N1=N(1 p)

    n

    X

    n

    P(X=k) =

    Npk

    NNpnk

    Nn

    (, A,P)

    X

    (, A)

    X()

    X() A

    X

    (, A,P)X() X() ={xn}nI I N X (pn)nI n I pn= P(X=xn)

    n I , pn [0, 1] nI

    pn= 1

    X

    (, A) X() =

    {xn}nI {pn}nI n I, pn [0, 1] nI

    pn = 1 P

    (, A) n I , P(X=xn) =pn

    FX

    X

    (, A)

    R x R, FX(x) = P(X x)

    FX limx

    FX(x) = 0 limx+

    FX(x) = 1

    X Y (, A) (X, Y) (X(), Y())

    (, A)

    (xi, yj) (X(), Y()) ((X, Y) = (xi, yj)) { |X() =xi Y() =yj} (X=xi, Y =yj)

    (X, Y)

    (X, Y)

    P(X=xi, Y =yj) (xi, yj) X() Y()

    X

    Y

    (X, Y)

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    x X() P(X=x) =

    yY()

    P(X=x, Y =y)

    y Y() P(Y =y) =

    xX()

    P(X=x, Y =y)

    x X() P(X=x) > 0 Y X=x Px Y()

    yj Y() P

    x(yj) =PX=x(yj) =

    P(X=x, Y =yj)

    P(X=x)

    X Y (, A,P) (X, Y)

    (xi, yj) X() Y(), P(X=xi, Y =yj) = P(X=xi)P(Y =yj)

    (X, Y) A X()

    B Y() P(XA, Y B) = P(XA) P(Y B)

    (X, Y) f g

    f(X)

    g(Y)

    (X1,...,Xn) (, A,P)

    (x1,...,xn) X1() ... Xn(), P(X1= x1,...,Xn= xn) = P(X1= x1) ... P(Xn= xn)

    (X1,...,Xn)

    (A1,...,An) P(X1()) ...P(Xn()) (Xi Ai)i[[1,n]]

    (X1,...,Xn)

    (f1,...,fn) n (X1,...,Xn)

    (f1(X1),...,fn(Xn))

    (Xn)nN (, A,P) (Xn)nN

    (Xn)nN (, A,P) (Xn)nN

    (i, j) N2, i=j =Xi Xj

    (Xn)nN

    (X0, X1,...,Xn)

    (Xn)nN

    Xi

    B(12)