NUCLEAR POWER PROGRAM & SMR COST ESTIMATION IN … Meetings/09-30...Badan Tenaga Nuklir Nasional 5. 2017 •Nuclear Energy Advisory Council (MPTN) invite all NPP stakeholders result:

NUCLEAR POWER PROGRAM & SMR COST ESTIMATION IN INDONESIA

Idaho, 3 October 2019

SriyanaCenter for Nuclear Energy System AssessmentNational Nuclear Energy Agency

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INDONESIA

Badan Tenaga Nuklir Nasional 2

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History NPP Policy and Program

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1970 1980 1990

1996

2000

Act 10/1997

Muria FS

1986

ChernobylNPP

Accident

Economic Crisis

Act 17/2007, GR No 5/2006

BATAN had authority to build a commercial NPP BATAN has no authority to build a commercial NPP

Change of Government Regime and

Democratization Process

DG IAEA to Indonesia

BATAN has authority to build a non commercial NPP

2010

BANGKA Pre-FS

Banten Site Study

Fukushima NPP

Accident

BANGKA FS

Development of Nuclear Research Facilities

National EnergiPolicy (GR no

79/2014)

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2013NPP Feasibility Study for Bangka Site was doneThere is no decision for NPP Construction

2014

•Submit Site Evaluation Program and Site Evaluation Management System of RDE to BAPETEN

•Site evaluation for RDE started•National Team under MEMR for NPP program acceleration for Bangka sites, 4 unit in 2025 signed but never published

2015 •Preliminary Design of RDE•RDE Site permit application to BAPETEN

NPP: Program and Policy History

2016•Site Evaluation of RDE completed•Site Evaluation Documents submitted to BAPETEN with several review & discussion

2017 •Site License for RDE issued by BAPETEN, 23 January 2017•Develop Basic Design of RDE


2017

•Nuclear Energy Advisory Council (MPTN) invite all NPP stakeholders result: 6 documents of NPP

Technical Assessment of Non-Commercial NPP Economic Financing and Commercial Aspects International Cooperation Legal and Institutional Assessment Risk Management Security and Social Aspects

2018

•Nuclear Energy Advisory Council (MPTN) : NPP Pre-Feasibility for West Kalimantan Update – 19 Infrastructures of NPP Political level effort for NPP in West Kalimantan

• Develop detail engineering design for RDE

2019

•Nuclear Energy Advisory Council (MPTN) : Propose National Research Priority for NPP to BAPPENAS

o Utility Requirement Document (URD SMR)o Blue print of NPP (SMR)

NPP: Program and Policy History


CURRENT ENERGY STATUS

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Indonesian Situation

Population projection (2025) : ~280 MillionsTarget for GDP per capita (2025) : ~16.000 US$Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (2017) :

Reserve:Oil up to 13 yearsCoal up to 16 yearsGas up to 34 years

(Present status of renewable Energy <10%)

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THE LEGISLATION

• Act No. 10/1997 on the Nuclear Energy amendment process that provides easier regulation for the construction of nuclear power plants in Indonesia

• Act No. 17/2007 on the National Long Term Planning NPP start in operation in 2015-2019 with the strict safety

• Gov Reg 79/2014 on National Energy Policy Nuclear energy is the last option (but for national long term projection, and particularly current condition for West Kalimantan actually was in the last option Electricity imported from Serawak, Malaysia)

• Gov Reg 14/2015 on the Master Plan for Development of National Industry To anticipate the scarcity of national energy, then the development of the renewable and nuclear energies must be considered.

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ENERGY MIXED TARGET

23%

25%

30%

22%

2025400 MTOE

31%

20%

25%

24%

20501.012 MTOE

TARGET KEN 2025 2050Role of energy Capital of development

NRE share 23% 31%

Energy supply > 400 MTOE > 1.000 MTOE

Electricity Generation > 115 GW > 430 GW

Electricity/capita/yr 2.500 kWh 7.000 kWh

Electrification Ratio ∼100% ∼100%

New and Renewable Energy (RNE)OilGasCoal

TARGETRUEN 2025

KONDISI2015

46%

26%

23%

5%

2015166 MTOE

TARGETRUEN 2050

ENERGY MIX POLICY (GOV. REG. 79/2014)

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ELECTRICITY INFRASTRUCTUREDEVELOPMENT 2018

REGIONAL SUMATERA

Power Plants 15.990 MW

Transmissions 20.947 kms

Substations 39.810 MVA

REGIONAL KALIMANTAN




REGIONAL SULAWESI




REGIONAL MALUKU & PAPUA




REGIONAL JAWA, BALI & NT




INDONESIA




Ref: RUPTL 2018-2027

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Electricity: Fuel Mix Projection

RE portion in 2018 : 12,4% RE portion in 2025 : 23,0%

To reach the target nuclear !!


NUCLEAR PROSPECT AND STRATEGY

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1. Continuity of energy supply, security and supply efficiency of primary energy (coal and gas)

2. Affordability, Accesibility, Availability.3. To find alternative energy sources (Nuclear and

renewable energy)4. Electricity policy is Demand driven (BAU) and Demand

Creation5. The price of electricity must be affordable, competitive

and stable

National Strategic Isue in Electricity

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Policy and Strategy (1)

1. To encourage the local Government to speak out more strongly on the need of nuclear energy. East Kalimantan West Kalimantan Bangka-Belitung Batam island West Nusa Tenggara

2. To support the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources on the establishment of nuclear energy roadmap.

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NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURES

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NPP INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT

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RESPONSIBLE INSTITUTIONS AND THEIR SCOPE OF WORK IN INFRASTRUCTURE PRAPARATION

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• KebijakanTeknologi

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19 Infrastructure Issues*

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*IAEA NS-G-3.1

to be prepared, not available to be updated/improved

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Status of National Nuclear Power Infrastructure Development

• BATAN requested the IAEA to perform an IntegratedNuclear Infrastructure Review (INIR) Mission under theframework of TC programme (INS/4/037) in a letterdated on 5 August 2009.

• An INIR mission provides an external peer reviewsconducted by the IAEA in November 23 – 27, 2009

• INIR mission shows that Indonesia has done extensivepreparatory work on most infrastructure issues thatwould allow the country to make decision to furtherconsider introduction of nuclear power, i.e. to go fromphase 1 to phase 2 in Milestone methodology.

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Nuclear infrastructure status

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Status of nuclear infrastructure

NEPIO not yetestablished

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Strategy development for nuclear implementation programme Identification of ownership options and operational

responsibilities Development of well-structured public information

and education programme NEPIO establishment Strategies for funding and financing Development of public participation in decision making

process Development of strategy for national policy with

respect to national and local industrial involvement

Key Activities Identified

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PUBLIC ACCEPTANCE

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BATAN, has launched public information and education programs. The vision of the program is to develop public understanding on the use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. BATAN has been conducted a surveys and polls. Survey method used was face to face interview with a combination of stratified random sampling (multistage sampling) and simple random sampling.

Public Acceptance

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Public Acceptance Survey

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• Annual public opinion is conducted to measure public acceptance on NPP program;• The results within 6 years show dynamics of acceptance, especially affected by Fukushima

Daiichi accident in 2011;• 2016 result showed public confidence tends to show increasing trends for the last 4 years.

59.70%

49.50% 52.93%64.10%

72.00% 75.30% 77.53%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016


SITE STUDY

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CURRENT STATUS OF NPP SITE STUDY

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ESTIMATION COST OF SMR

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CURRENT EFFORT FOR NPP

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• Local Govt. of West Kalimantan want more electricity supply for future economic and industrialisation limited energy resources nuclear is an option.

• Strong support from Chairman of Local Representative Council for NPP program in West Kalimantan.

• Challenge from MEMR (Vice Ministry: “show me that nuclear is cheap!”)

• For near and medium term, nuclear could supply for West Kalimantan but small capacity (SMR). Based on energy planning: 100 Mwe in 2025.

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Cost estimation of SMR

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• To answer the challenges, we need to estimate the SMR Generation Cost.

• Scenario cost estimation based on construction phase:

• FOAK : 1 unit, with OC: 6500 US$/kWe

• 1st NOAK : 2 Units, with OC: 4500 US$/kWe

• 2nd NOAK: 3 units, with OC: 3500 US$/kWe.

• discount rate: 10%

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Cost estimation of SMR

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Cost Component

Overnight Cost ($/kW)6.500FOAK1 x 105 MWe

4.500NOAK2 x 105 MWe

3.500NOAK,3x 105 MWe

Overnight Cost, (cents/kWh) 13,79 9,55 7,43

O&M Cost, (cents/kWh) 1,38 1,38 1,38

Fuel Cost, (cents/kWh) 0,16 0,16 0,16

Decommisioning, (cents/kWh) 0,11 0,11 0,11

Total (Cents/kWh) 15,44 11,20 9,07

Note: National based cost electricity price: 7 cents/kWh (current status)

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Basic cost of electricity

© Rosatom Tech 32

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Thank you

33Badan Tenaga Nuklir Nasional