Metro Vancouver 2040

Metro Vancouver

2040Planning for our Future

www.nikolasbadminton.com

“86% of the people in the developed world will live in cities by 2050.”

Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/

1. Trends in workspace configurations.

2. Large and diverse talent pools.

3. Ecosystems of advisers and services.

4. Maintaining a competitive edge.

Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2016/07/14/the-future-of-cities-green-building-to-driverless-cars-at-a-glance/

6m in BC by 2040

3.4m by 2041

Metro Vancouver 2040 Smart Cities Citizen-focused Architecture 2017 to 2025 Predictions

Metro Vancouver

2040

GROWTH EFFICIENCY

PROTECTION AFFORDABILITY EMPLOYMENT

TRANSPORTATION REDUCTION

Changing Citizens

Certainty Variety

Significance Connection/Love

Growth Contribution

Millennials(45 to 60 years old)

“Now that the economic shackles are coming off today’s young urbanites, cities that want to stay vibrant have to figure out how to convince them—and their growing families—to stick around”

Source: http://fortune.com/2016/03/28/millennials-leaving-cities/

The ‘safe generation’

2007

2008

More people on earth have access to cell phones than toilets.

Out of the world's estimated 7 billion people, 6 billion have access to mobile phones.

Source: United Nations, 2015

$446bn

$608bn

$541bn$373bn

$255bn

Gen Z(20 to 43 years old)

The ‘activist generation’ shaped by

big tech companies

What’s next?

“Social commentator Neer Korn has suggested there could be a backlash against consumerism from the cohort that follows Generation Z.”

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generation_Z

Zero Margin Economy

Basic Minimum Income

Smart Cities

CONNECTIVITY

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3442115/Download-boxsets-blink-eye-Record-breaking-superfast-broadband-50-000-TIMES-faster-current-speeds.html

“This technology will be everywhere in 10 to 15 years, it will be incorporated into every light and every device.”

Harald Burchardt PureLi-Fi COO

Internet of Things

“4.9 billion connected things will be in use in 2015, up 30 percent from 2014, and will reach 25 billion by 2020.”

Gartner

Source: https://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2905717

Smart Buildings

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2agi5xxBnfU

https://mitei.mit.edu/news/transparent-solar-cells

“If this technology replaced all the glazing on the One World Trade Center building in New York City, the windows could power more than 350 apartments.”

ENERGY.GOV

http://www.energy.gov/articles/turning-windows-solar-panels

Really Smart Buildings

“Food production must increase with 60% to be able to feed the growing population expected to hit 9 billion in 2050.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1clRcxZS52s

"We're growing in 16 days what otherwise takes 30 days in a field - using 95% less water, about 50% less fertilizers, zero pesticides, herbicides, fungicides"

David Rosenberg, CEO, AeroFarms

Source: http://www.cnbc.com/2015/06/24/vertical-farming-the-next-big-thing-for-food-and-tech.html

Programmable Cities

Bristol

Chicago

Chicago Array of Things

Start at 00:46s to 1:47s

“Monitors in station agent booths were seen with the message, “You Hacked. ALL data encrypted,” and the culprit allegedly demanded 100 Bitcoin (about $73,000).”

WIRED

Source: https://www.wired.com/2016/11/sfs-transit-hack-couldve-way-worse-cities-must-prepare/

“SFMTA’s backup servers did not appear to be among the thousands of impacted machines, which could allow the agency to avoid paying the ransom and restore their computers from previous copies of their system data.”

HoodLineSource: http://hoodline.com/2016/11/hackers-hold-sfmta-s-computer-network-hostage-for-73k-ransom

“Between April 2014 and the end of 2015, the FBI received 4,291 reports of ransomware attacks. Losses over that period totaled nearly $50 million.”

FUSION

http://fusion.net/story/278801/hackers-ransomware-hospital-smart-cities/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pL9q2lOZ1Fw https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hcoVMXLTQzw

Power Grids Traffic Grid

Internet of Things (IoT) botnet “Mirai" spawned a 620Gbps DDoS against

KrebsOnSecurity.

“The malware relied on factory default or hard-coded usernames and passwords to compromise vulnerable IoT devices such as insecure routers, IP cameras, digital video recorders and the like.”

Source: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/10/10/iot_botnet/

Mode Shift

BICYCLES CO-OPS

AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES TRANSIT & HAULAGE

Bicycles

Daily cycling trips in Vancouver: 100,000 Approx 10% of all trips are made by bike.

Cycling is the fastest growing mode of transportation in Vancouver. From 2008 to 2011 alone, trips by bike increased by a full 40%

100,000 trips made within 2.5 months of launch.

<add in experimental raised London bikeways - SkyCycle>SkyCycle

Co-ops

“Canada has 5,000 cars available to more than 280,000 users”

U.S.-based Transportation Sustainability Research Center (TSRC), 2014

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/small-business/sb-growth/car-sharing-not-just-for-grocery-runs-any-more/article24142203/

http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/

Autonomous Vehicles

2000 deaths per year

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/rob-commentary/how-autonomous-vehicles-will-transform-economies/article28931855/

1. A car always opts for property damage over personal injury; 2. It never distinguishes between humans based on

categories such as age or race; 3. If a human removes his or her hands from the steering

wheel the car’s manufacturer is liable if there is a collision.

3 LAWS OF DRIVERLESS CARS

Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg23130923-200-germany-to-create-worlds-first-highway-code-for-driverless-cars/

Transit & Haulage

Lausanne, Switzerland Trikala, Greece Zhengzhou, China Wageningen, Netherlands

<add in experimental raised London bikeways - SkyCycle>

Citizen Architecture

Certainty Variety

Significance Connection/Love

Growth Contribution

1. Evolving through feedback and collaboration. 2. Lower cost and self-optimizing. 3. Community-focused, social, & people-friendly. 4. Sustainable, Configurable, Extensible, & Contextual. 5. Secure.

2017 to 2025Predictions

1New municipal, and organizational, solutions will be discovered in design charrettes involving employees & citizens.

2Developers, Data Scientists, and Security Experts will be foundational in the running of all city functions.

3Suburban-to-city & city-to-city transit connections will become more extensive & efficient and we embrace GVRD as a ‘mega-region’.

4Cities will become more walkable & bike-friendly with fewer vehicles on the streets and the introduction of pedestrian zones.

5 Automated vehicles will make up 10% of on-street traffic.

Metro Vancouver

2040Planning for our Future

www.nikolasbadminton.com